The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. In two of that years Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. color: #FFF; 7 Winners on Monday! Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. font-weight: bold; Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! table.tableizer-table { We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. 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Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Taiba (+800) and Messier (+800) lead the group having posted 103s previously in Kentucky Derby Prep races. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . Play today with NYRA Bets! In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. border: 1px solid #CCC; In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . 107. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. Sell. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. font-size: 12px; 83. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. . The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. [5][6][7] Easy Goer also routinely ran in the 120 Beyer Speed Figure range on a regular basis in his races, while arch-rival Sunday Silence did so rarely and only when it was required for him to prevail. In the only . Avg. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Making just his third lifetime start after very impressive wins in a Santa Anita maiden and a Del Mar allowance, Flightline was tested for class in the Malibu, and couldn't have passed any more easily. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. color: #FFF; Just how fast is a certain crop of horses in the Kentucky Derby? While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. Bet with your head, not over it. Both runners earned their lofty numbers in the Wood Memorial (G2). Overall, the number reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. Photo: padding: 4px; Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. Hence, their status as longshots. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. This implies that Secretariat would have had the highest ever Beyer speed figure. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Jerardi is also part of the Beyer speed figure team, a system that was designed by legendary Washington Post racing columnist Andy Beyer. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. 97. . The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Periods of rain. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. Slew's Tiz Whiz Named Washington's 2022 Horse Of The Year. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. No specifics, he said. border: 1px solid #CCC; None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. Your TDN download has begun. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. Photo: Benoit. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Speed figures are normalized numerical representations of final times based on relative track speeds, as it is rare for tracks to produce the exact final . . For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. The Beyer speed figure of 79 was solid if not spectacular, but the manner in which the win was accomplished - a stalking trip followed by a good late kick - suggests this colt will be perfectly suited by an extended sprint . Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. That . Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. Owned by WinStar . In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102.
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